Skills builder for movers 2 peig 64 66 series#

It is next to useless against ships, which renders the rest of the argument moot. What I am saying is, there is a quite significant chance the entire indian ocean is a carefully engineered carrier killing ground, and that if Trump uses a carrier against Iran he will promptly loose that entire carrier group to a swarm of fivehundred + missiles, fired in volley. There is no way, no how, the Iranians get charged more by their own industry)ģ: Iran has known they were on the US shit list for decades. If the air-wing of a carrier can strike Iran, the carrier is some five hundred kilometers inside cruise missile range.Ģ: It costs a million dollars a piece to build, max (this is what the US mil industrial complex charges for the tomahawk. It has greater range than the combat radius of the f-35. Important facts about that type of missile:ġ. Iran has the soumar cruise missile, which is basically a tomahawk missile. Its defenses rely on expendables, and those expendables can be trivially counted. However, a carrier group has one, very glaring weakness. It continined to dominate because nuclear weapons kept everyone from fighting people who could fight back. The Ukranian airliner may be an ill-timed coincidence, but jittery air-defense forces around Tehran are a distinct possibility.Ĭarriers doctrine happened because ww2 air-planes did not have the range to dominate the sea entirely from land. But it’s way too soon for the victory celebration.ħ. I expect Trump and company to spend the next six months to a year bragging about their forcing Iran to blink and winning a great victory for America. The high profile of the Soleimani assassination almost certainly demanded some level of immediate retaliation, not just “wait a few months and see the bombs start to explode”. What’s the US plan for dealing with state-sponsored terrorism by nuclear powers?Ħ. In six months to a year, Iraq’s nuclear weapons people will probably be able to mount a nuclear warhead on e.g. In six months to a year, Iran’s covert-operations forces will be probably able to plan and execute attacks of up to 9/11 scale, if they are so inclined. Expect Iranian diplomats to be working that angle.ĥ. Today, the Iraqi government has a fresh reminder that hosting US troops means being caught in the crossfire of any US-Iran war, with more Iraqis than Americans dying if it comes to that. Yesterday, Iraq was waffling about whether it was going to order US troops out of the country, and the US was waffling about whether it was going to play the “screw you guys, I’m going home” card. The biggest possible win for Iran would be a complete US withdrawal from Iraq – whether that comes before or after we shoot a bunch of cruise missiles at Iran is irrelevant. The US did not have missile defense assets in place to protect its largest base in Iraq, three days after picking a fight with a missile-armed power next door to Iraq either those assets are stretched impossibly thin, or their deployment planning is abysmally poor.Ĥ.

Alternately, the improved guidance systems were inadequately tested and we got very lucky.ģ. Ten such missiles hitting an base housing ~1500 US troops and killing none of them, suggests that either the missiles were targeted to avoid US casualties. The Qaim is a descendant of the infamous “Scud” missile with a substantially improved guidance system and a 750 kg warhead. Yesterday’s attack was carried out with 15 Qaim-1 or Qaim-2 ballistic missiles ten striking the Al-Asad airbase, one impact at Irbil, and four failed in flight. And Quds Force are Iran’s covert-operations specialists it is highly unlikely that they are going to sit this one out.Ģ.

Skills builder for movers 2 peig 64 66 series#

when (probably) Israel assassinated Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan in January 2012, the result was a series of bomb attacks against Israeli diplomats and tourists around the world a month later. Iran’s usual retaliation for this sort of thing is delayed and covert – e.g.